May 16th, 2011, 13:48 | 只看该作者 #61 |
多伦多一无名小街
注册日期: Jun 2009
帖子: 205
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blog.163.com/itoronto 多伦多一无名小街。。。 |
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May 16th, 2011, 14:15 | 只看该作者 #68 |
多伦多一无名小街
注册日期: Jun 2009
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再看 书的序言, 抄一段: " The goal for most traders is to maximize trading profits through a style that is compatible with their personalities. Without that compatibility, I believe that it is virtually impossible to trade profitably long term. Many traders wonder how long it will take them to be successful and are willing to lose money for some period of time, even a few years. However, it took me over 10 years to be able to trade successfully. " "Edwards and Magee's focus is on the overall trend. I use those same basic techniques but pay much closer attention to the individual bars on the chart to improve the risk-reward ratio, and I devote considerable attention to intraday charts." "As a trader, I see everything in shades of gray and am constantly thinking in terms of probabilities," "This is the art of trading, and it takes years to become good at trading in the gray zone." "You have to take responsibility for your decisions, but you first have to learn how to make them, and that means that you have to get used to operating in the gray fog. Nothing is ever as clear as black and white, and I have been doing this long enough to appreciate that anything, no matter how unlikely, can and will happen." 此帖于 May 16th, 2011 15:41 被 hazelton 编辑。 |
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May 16th, 2011, 14:45 | 只看该作者 #72 |
多伦多一无名小街
注册日期: Jun 2009
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抄:另一本书的, 共学习。。。 ( about trading Futures) -------------------------------- Approach first,method second. -------------------------------- A trader needs to be like a researcher in an unexplored forest studying a newly discovered wild animal. Eager to learn,searching for the truth, curious as to what will happen next,intent on observing habits and patterns,looking without preconceived opinions or fear. The primary motive is to observe,learn,and then act intelligently. No fear because the trader has made the effort to possess the trading intelligence and decision-making capacity necessary to handle whatever the future brings. -------------------------------- The past is knowable. The present is observable. The future is intelligently guessable. The past is already made,so it is permanent.Only something permanent,unchanging,can ever be known.Therefore,the past can be known. The present is evolving; it is happening.That which is happening can be seen.So the present can be observed. The mold of the future is built in the past and refined by the present.However,the actual future is yet-to-be-made and thus will always be unknown. Only the present is alive and to be alive means to be constantly changing. If the present is alive and constantly changing,then the present's future must also be ever-changing and thus always unknown. So,the future can never be known nor perfectly predicted;but the know past and observed present will always indicate a "probable" future. The future is thus in between unknowable and predictable. It is more than random,but less than certain. Tis is intelligently guessable. -------------------------------- So,how do you make these intelligent guesses about the future? One approach to solving this problem is to follow these four steps: First,understanding. Second,self-nowing. Third,learning. Fourth,acting. -------------------------------- You are trading against the wealthiest and most knowledgeable people and organizations in the world. Do not delude yourself,you cannot compete on their terms: information,knoledge,experience,staying power and so on. -------------------------------- Do not spend time and energy tring to figure out -why- a price moves. Focus all your attention and energy solely on -what- the price is doing. If you know something,assume everybody knows it. Always operate on the assumption that you are at the tail end of the information chain. -------------------------------- Don't think. Look. Don't analyze. Observe. (The institutions you are competing with invariable will have more knowledge,more information,more of everything than you; but in the seeing competition you can be their equal,or maybe even their better.) -------------------------------- Avoid making specific predictions about the future. Making predictions will do you no good and can do you a lot of harm. Analysis and predictions actually hinder your ability to see and act clearly. You will be constantly tempted to analyze and predict. Do so if you wish,just be aware of the dangers and try to adjust accordingly. -------------------------------- Observe with humility. Act with arrogance. When observing,step aside and let humility in. When acting,banish even the concept of doubt. When looking at a chart,look with maximum humility. When acting on what you see,act with total arrogance. See through your eyes. Act from your intellect. (Eyes see,intellect does.Your eyes are the navigator,your intellect the pilot.Your eyes tell you -what-,-which way- and -approximately when- to trade; your intellect decides -how many- contracts to do and -precisely when- to act) (Understand that the psychological you,the you made up of all your past successes and failures,the you full of hopes for future success and fears of future failures,the you filled with all this extraneous psychological clutter,this you has no role to play in the seeing and acting of trading---this you merely enjoys or suffers the fruits of your trading. Let images enter through your eyes,detour around your emotions and memories and impact directly on your trading intelligence so it can then act freely and clearly. Let your eyes send uncontaminated sights to your trading intelligence so it can then act as you have conditioned and trained it to do. ) -------------------------------- To trade futures is to live in a state of constant uncertainty. Surviving and prospering in this evniroment requires clear vision,the guidance of a trading intelligence containing,at a minimum,and accurate knowledge of the past,and then the capacity to act decisively. Futures trading is always uncertain and therefore sometimes frightening. In such an evnironment,you need to understand what you are dealing with,you need an unbiased humble brain,and you need to be able to act. Fear distorts vision. Intelligentce displaces fear. -------------------------------- Trading futures is like a voyage down an unexplored river. You cannot know what lies ahead but you can know where the river has been,you can see which direction it is moving,you can measure how fast it is flowing.Then having done this,you can make an intelligent guess about where it will go next. You cannot know the future,but you can know the past,and you can calculate the direction and momentum of the present. Do all of this well and you will be able to make in intelligent guess about the future. -------------------------------- <<Intelligent Futures Trading>>---Chick Goslin 1997 -- ISBN 0-930233-63-8 |
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May 17th, 2011, 23:27 | 只看该作者 #80 |
多伦多一无名小街
注册日期: Jun 2009
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20110517 今天没什么大起伏, 早上手又痒了,不过没犯大错误, 10:30 那齐头的很漂亮,可以算 EMA Gap, 后果很严重,不过当时没充分认识到,(3-m 是 3 齐头) 10:55 那假动作漂亮, 不过最漂亮的假动作算 14:40 , 绝了,然后就觉得走法是 滚滚江水,后浪推前浪,。。。。 15:00 后的那个大 range scalp 了几次,不过还是动作慢了点。。。 12:45 那根大棒吃饭去了。 另: 高手比武,看到对手的招数是一层功力, 能看到对手的破绽是进一层功力。 如果在对手的破绽还没出来,超前想到一两步又是更高的一层功力。。。。 |
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