Sep 19th, 2009, 19:42 | #1 |
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【讨论】北美股市经验谈
开一个学习讨论帖子,是真心希望在华尔街有着多年炒美股经验的各位高手能够不吝赐教,在各位赚钱之余提携提携我们这些只是有一点点股市经验的新手低手同胞。 欢迎新手低手提出疑问,诚心实意地向高手请教;如果各位高手茶余饭后能够主动地分享一些北美股市的经验,透露一些北美股市的规律我们新手低手实在是感激不尽呀,虽然我们其实都知道这些经验教训也好,规律特点也好也都是您们当初花钱交学费买来的,但是请你们不要太在意这个,就全当是造福晚辈后来人吧。 我先抛块砖,看看能不能引来和田玉。 根据我仅有的一点经验,其实也是很多高手无私传授的知识,OE当天由于由于期权的关系,当天的上涨或者下跌往往不能作为对后市研判的依据,例如这个OE前几天和当天C的下跌,我认为是因为9月天量的期权缘故,MM卖出期权自然要靠控制股价赚取这个暴利。并且由此分析,C后市将看涨。以上纯属低手瞎分析,请高手指正。 |
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共 4 位会员 感谢 W.A.Mozart 发表的文章: |
creativeccc (Sep 19th, 2009), 记事本 (Oct 4th, 2009), moccafirst (Sep 21st, 2009), 只取一瓢 (Sep 19th, 2009) |
Sep 19th, 2009, 22:36 | 只看该作者 #2 |
92.98
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买的没有卖的精
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感谢 creativeccc 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 19th, 2009) |
Sep 19th, 2009, 22:45 | 只看该作者 #4 |
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感谢 tiezi 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 20th, 2009) |
Sep 20th, 2009, 00:35 | 只看该作者 #7 |
墙头草
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W.A.Mozart 对股市研究很深入
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感谢 waterhouse 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 20th, 2009) |
Sep 20th, 2009, 00:53 | 只看该作者 #9 |
墙头草
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感谢 waterhouse 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 20th, 2009) |
Sep 20th, 2009, 11:12 | 只看该作者 #10 |
元
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原來你們這些傢伙都要搞C這個MM亞,建議你們直接問三GO大師,他搞這個應該有點經驗,
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擎傲世之龍碼 從混沌中明清澈
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感谢 笑熬漿糊 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 20th, 2009) |
Sep 20th, 2009, 12:21 | 只看该作者 #11 |
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我的确想搞C,找到一个机会潜伏进去。 但是我现在只能根据FA确定C不久的将来必定是向上的趋势,绝对不会是向下的趋势,但是我不知道什么时候是转折点,我也不知道什么价位是转折点,所以现在我选择只看不动,我没有掌握预测的金钥匙,我确信这辈子以我的水平我都不会去奢望我能掌握预测的技能,所以我只看信号! 我相信一位真正的股市大师所说过的话:股市里的机会是等来的,股市里的机会不需要你去抓,你要做的只是静静地等待,机会到时候就会自动地送上门来。 我也希望自己将来能够从股市里学成出师,提前我也瞎编一句,没准儿将来也被后人引用为“大师名言”,惭愧!惭愧! “田径场上比赛还没有开始就被罚下去的都是抢跑的,股市里亏损的100%也都是抢跑的。” |
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Sep 20th, 2009, 14:05 | 只看该作者 #12 |
元
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感谢 笑熬漿糊 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 20th, 2009) |
Sep 20th, 2009, 17:11 | 只看该作者 #13 |
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上周五美元的反弹,我感觉动能挺足,时间的选择上也挺有讲究的(只是低手的感觉哈),可能会持续半周甚至一周以上,所以我感觉下周股市调整的可能性很大。当然牛市调整坚决逢低吸纳这是错不了的,所以重中之重就在这一个“低”字,要不然见跌就买,低后还有更低处,老是被止损出来,是容易打击散户严格止损纪律的执行力。 所以,关于后市我的想法是周一周二如果调整先不要急于逢低吸纳,看看周三美元会不会反弹结束,到那时再买进也还算BUY@DIP,可能效果更好。低手瞎分析哈,请高手批评指正,同时欢迎大家无论是高手老手,还是新手低手,也包括市场外人士探讨和分享您们的高见。 |
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Sep 20th, 2009, 18:06 | 只看该作者 #14 | |
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引用:
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不知道不知道,知道不知道,不知道竟然知道。。。。
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Sep 20th, 2009, 20:15 | 只看该作者 #19 |
告别2011
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其实C让分析师们也够头痛的: September 17, 2009 6:01 PM EDT Is Rochdale Securities' banking analyst Dick Bove losing it? This man is all over the place on Citigroup (NYSE: C). On one hand he thinks the stock can go to $15-$16 on "normalized" earnings of $1.23 per share, on the other hand he says the stock is worth $5. It is our option that Mr. Bove is making questionable comments about the earnings power, the stock price and the government stake. First on the earnings power. If Citi earned $1.23 per share they would have to be making about $30 billion a year in "normal" profits, based on the 23 billion shares outstanding currently. Putting $30 billion in profits in prospective - Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), the most profitable company in the world, only earned $45 billion in 2008 when gas prices were sky high. Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), another very profitable company, earned $14.6 billion in 2009. On a comparable basis, JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) earned just $5.6 billion in 2008 and $15.4 billion in 2007. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) earned $15 billion in the 2007 go-go days. Citi itself earned just $20.4 billion in the go-go days of 2006. Currently Citigroup is losing money hand-over-fist, is still on the hook for billions more in TARP which it is paying hefty interest on, and is shrinking its business and leverage. So how in the hell is Citigroup going to earn $30 billion? This may not happen in my lifetime. The market cap of Citigroup if it traded at $15-$16 per share would be $345-$368 billion. Again to put this in perspective. JPM's market cap is $177 billion. XOM's is the highest at $335 billion. So in others words, Citigroup would be the most valuable stock in the world. Give me a break! In addition to these questionable comments on the earnings power and stock price, Bove may be spreading a misinterpretation of CEO Vikrim Pandit's comments about the U.S. government's new 7.7 billion common shares. In today's note on Citigroup, Bove said that Pandit's comments from yesterday's conference suggests that the U.S. will not be selling its stake for some time. This could not be further from the truth. Pandit clearly said that the government has no restriction on their stock and may sell at any time. How in the hell did he get his interpretation? Bove's comments on Citigroup are nothing short of reckless. |
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感谢 liszt 此篇文章之用户: |
W.A.Mozart (Sep 20th, 2009) |