DOW may gap down 1000+ points

klin · Oct 27th, 2008, 16:54

You can't get an uglier chart than today's. The PPT's huge intervention failed to save the market again. Smart money was escaping during the final hour sell-off. DOW may gap down as many as 1000 points within a few weeks.

Bottom fishing is extremely dangerous, holding any long positions is like playing with fire. You could lose all your bottom fishing profit in one failed trade.

GOD WILL NOT bless damn America this time.

ElephantSong · Oct 27th, 2008, 16:59

最后这会儿吓死人了.

qkang98 · Oct 28th, 2008, 10:52

引用:

作者: klin

You can't get an uglier chart than today's. The PPT's huge intervention failed to save the market again. Smart money was escaping during the final hou...

Thanks for the reminding. After the consumer confidence data coming out, I just sold all my long position bought some short stocks.

Johny · Oct 28th, 2008, 16:19

有人通风报信给MM. dow +900

ElephantSong · Oct 28th, 2008, 16:36

主要是三楼换了仓位,单子太大,给MM看到了.

qkang98 · Oct 28th, 2008, 22:57

fortunately I set the sell on stop when bought those short stocks. No damage at all. Tomorrow continue short if DOW rises again.

ElephantSong · Oct 28th, 2008, 23:01

这次小声点儿,不要让MM听到了.

klin · Oct 29th, 2008, 16:51

Sick government, sick market. People are losing faith on both of them. When all tricks don't work anymore, who is going to bail out America? The country is going nowhere but hell.

Japnese's Nikki shot up as much as 30% following 1989 crash. Now it's still sitting at 20% of its 1989 high. I may not see it at 40000 for the rest of my life. Samething for DOW, will not see DOW 15000 in at least 10 years.

liszt · Oct 29th, 2008, 21:24

在美联储减息之前和之后的大涨过程中。

希望klin的千点大跌预言成真

behappy · Oct 30th, 2008, 09:02

如题

liszt · Oct 30th, 2008, 09:32

引用:

作者: behappy

如题

今天几个数据都不好，失业率，GDP，和消费者信心指数，盘前的大涨延续欧亚盘，高开低走的可能很大

不过如果盘中突破97.5（SPY），环视要止损出来观望形式

AWD · Oct 30th, 2008, 12:20

窄幅盘整!

引用:

作者: liszt

今天几个数据都不好，失业率，GDP，和消费者信心指数，盘前的大涨延续欧亚盘，高开低走的可能很大

不过如果盘中突破97.5（SPY），环视要止损出来观望形式

behappy · Oct 30th, 2008, 13:46

How do you decide the breakout price at $97.5?

引用:

作者: liszt

今天几个数据都不好，失业率，GDP，和消费者信心指数，盘前的大涨延续欧亚盘，高开低走的可能很大

不过如果盘中突破97.5（SPY），环视要止损出来观望形式

野渡无人 · Oct 30th, 2008, 14:21

现在股市90%的时间都是垃圾时间.全部都要到最后30分钟甚至最后15分钟才有动作.

干脆也不要交易那么久,每天半小时我看就够了.

zhuxi · Oct 30th, 2008, 14:24

引用:

作者: liszt

在美联储减息之前和之后的大涨过程中。

希望klin的千点大跌预言成真

千点大跌可能要缓一缓了。

Johny · Oct 30th, 2008, 15:21

引用:

作者: zhuxi

千点大跌可能要缓一缓了。

这年头，天知道明天会发生什么。

klin · Oct 30th, 2008, 23:46

Bear market rally can be quite substantial, shorts get squeezed, fiscal year end window dressing, etc.

Nontheless, the fundamental is very bad, no matter how you look at it. Any rally eventually will be sold into. It's silly to think market has bottomed, tons of bad news are still coming.

Given extremely high volatility, both short and long are quite risky. One can easily get stopped out for both directions. Simple at-the-money or short term call/put purchase doesn't give decent risk/award ratio as they are very expensive. Long term deep in the money or spreads may offer better chances.

野渡无人 · Oct 31st, 2008, 14:07

今天最高摸到9425点了.会突破9500点吗?

野渡无人 · Oct 31st, 2008, 16:07

这TMD是什么狗P市场,最后5分钟还象乒乓球一样跳上跳下的

Johny · Oct 31st, 2008, 20:44

引用:

作者: klin

Bear market rally can be quite substantial, shorts get squeezed, fiscal year end window dressing, etc.

Nontheless, the fundamental is very bad, no...

不过，小心为好，市场总是对的。

Oct 27th, 2008, 16:54	#1
klin Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 583	DOW may gap down 1000+ points You can't get an uglier chart than today's. The PPT's huge intervention failed to save the market again. Smart money was escaping during the final hour sell-off. DOW may gap down as many as 1000 points within a few weeks. Bottom fishing is extremely dangerous, holding any long positions is like playing with fire. You could lose all your bottom fishing profit in one failed trade. GOD WILL NOT bless damn America this time. 此帖于 Oct 27th, 2008 17:15 被 klin 编辑。
klin Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 583

Oct 28th, 2008, 22:57	只看该作者 #6
qkang98 姜太公钓鱼注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 83 声望: 170	fortunately I set the sell on stop when bought those short stocks. No damage at all. Tomorrow continue short if DOW rises again.
qkang98 姜太公钓鱼注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 83 声望: 170

Oct 29th, 2008, 16:51	只看该作者 #8
klin Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 583 声望: 488215	Sick government, sick market. People are losing faith on both of them. When all tricks don't work anymore, who is going to bail out America? The country is going nowhere but hell. Japnese's Nikki shot up as much as 30% following 1989 crash. Now it's still sitting at 20% of its 1989 high. I may not see it at 40000 for the rest of my life. Samething for DOW, will not see DOW 15000 in at least 10 years.
klin Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 583 声望: 488215

Oct 29th, 2008, 21:24	只看该作者 #9
liszt 告别2011 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 14,210 积分:130 精华:30 声望: 6885868	这周三天，只有今天下午才空出来，买了PUT 在美联储减息之前和之后的大涨过程中。希望klin的千点大跌预言成真

Oct 30th, 2008, 09:02	只看该作者 #10
behappy Senior Member 注册日期: Mar 2005 帖子: 894 声望: 384224	我也是同一时间买了点PUT 如题
behappy Senior Member 注册日期: Mar 2005 帖子: 894 声望: 384224

Oct 27th, 2008, 16:59	只看该作者 #2
ElephantSong Senior Member 注册日期: Apr 2005 住址: Toronto 帖子: 3,625 声望: 2225336	最后这会儿吓死人了.

Oct 28th, 2008, 16:19	只看该作者 #4
Johny Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 住址: Vancouver 帖子: 917 声望: 44452	有人通风报信给MM. dow +900

Oct 28th, 2008, 16:36	只看该作者 #5
ElephantSong Senior Member 注册日期: Apr 2005 住址: Toronto 帖子: 3,625 声望: 2225336	主要是三楼换了仓位,单子太大,给MM看到了.

Oct 28th, 2008, 23:01	只看该作者 #7
ElephantSong Senior Member 注册日期: Apr 2005 住址: Toronto 帖子: 3,625 声望: 2225336	这次小声点儿,不要让MM听到了.

Oct 30th, 2008, 14:21	只看该作者 #14
野渡无人华疯小混混的领导注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 18,324 积分:58 精华:15 声望: 1008427566	现在股市90%的时间都是垃圾时间.全部都要到最后30分钟甚至最后15分钟才有动作. 干脆也不要交易那么久,每天半小时我看就够了.
	一天想到归去但已晚

Oct 30th, 2008, 23:46	只看该作者 #17
klin Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 583 声望: 488215	Bear market rally can be quite substantial, shorts get squeezed, fiscal year end window dressing, etc. Nontheless, the fundamental is very bad, no matter how you look at it. Any rally eventually will be sold into. It's silly to think market has bottomed, tons of bad news are still coming. Given extremely high volatility, both short and long are quite risky. One can easily get stopped out for both directions. Simple at-the-money or short term call/put purchase doesn't give decent risk/award ratio as they are very expensive. Long term deep in the money or spreads may offer better chances.
klin Senior Member 注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 583 声望: 488215

Oct 31st, 2008, 14:07	只看该作者 #18
野渡无人华疯小混混的领导注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 18,324 积分:58 精华:15 声望: 1008427566	今天最高摸到9425点了.会突破9500点吗?

Oct 31st, 2008, 16:07	只看该作者 #19
野渡无人华疯小混混的领导注册日期: Jul 2004 帖子: 18,324 积分:58 精华:15 声望: 1008427566	这TMD是什么狗P市场,最后5分钟还象乒乓球一样跳上跳下的